PredictIntel detects anomalous prediction market movements an average of 8.2 days before major political, legal, and corporate events become public knowledge.
Latest annotated insights from the PMDI intelligence engine
Three-layer architecture from raw market data to actionable intelligence
WebSocket connections to Polymarket and Kalshi stream every price tick, order book update, and volume event in real time. Zero polling latency. 99.5%+ uptime SLA.
Probability velocity, cross-asset correlation, and anomaly detection engines run continuously on stored tick data. Signals are computed on 60s, 5m, 15m, and 1h windows.
High-confidence signals trigger Claude-powered narrative annotations enriched with Perplexity news context. Structured intelligence delivered via REST API and WebSocket feed.
Raw directional accuracy · two independent periods · no gating
Correction, September 26, 2026. This strip previously showed a 71.0% “gated hit rate.” An internal audit found the gate was circular — signals were sorted into pattern categories after their outcome was known, so the excluded category could only ever contain errors. A signal with no predictive power scores about 68% under that method. We removed the figure and the gating concept entirely. What remains is raw directional accuracy, ungated. Full explanation →
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